“Truth does not waver ever, only our perception does, and it is our moral obligation to align our perceptions with truth so that our gained wisdom can manifest itself as moral right action.” – refletdumonde
A curated library of things hidden, forgotten & remembered.
expose-news.com
- Today marks the beginning of the greatest revolution the world has ever known April 20, 2025David Thunder gives his thoughts on how Jesus, the son of a Jewish carpenter, ended up tortured on a cross as a common criminal and by doing so spearheaded a movement that […] The post Today marks the beginning of the greatest revolution the world has ever known first appeared on The Expose.
- The folic acid story: If your doctor doesn’t kill you, your government will April 19, 2025The following is Dr. Vernon Coleman’s folic acid story. It will tell you how they plan to poison your food and create more cancer. In the following article, Dr. Coleman explains that […] The post The folic acid story: If your doctor doesn’t kill you, your government will first appeared on The Expose.
- Net Zero zealots forget that 6,000 products are made from crude oil, including equipment needed for their “green” agenda; so, here’s a reminder April 19, 2025Net Zero policymakers the world over appear to be unaware that electricity is generated after oil and that renewables only produce (unreliable) electricity, not the products and fuels needed to support the […] The post Net Zero zealots forget that 6,000 products are made from crude oil, including equipment needed for their “green” agenda; so, […]
- Muslims should stop brushing the rape of white girls by gangs of Muslim men under the carpet April 18, 2025It is not “Islamophobic” to demand justice for the victims of Muslim rape gangs and demand for an end to the crimes they are committing. Labelling anyone who speaks about it and […] The post Muslims should stop brushing the rape of white girls by gangs of Muslim men under the carpet first appeared on […]
- Puberty blockers are a dangerous chemical mutilation of children April 18, 2025Paediatrician and child advocate Dr. Michelle Cretella delivers a searing takedown of the gender ideology movement, calling it what it is: a dangerous, profit-driven assault on children. Dr. Cretella explains that sex […] The post Puberty blockers are a dangerous chemical mutilation of children first appeared on The Expose.
off-guardian.org
- WATCH: Paul vs James & the Birth of Christianity April 20, 2025A highly interesting documentary from the days before the History Channel was nothing but staged reality shows, this film discusses the men who inherited Jesus’ followers after his death, the conflict between them and how it shaped the fledgling Christian Church. Happy Easter!
- Truth for Truth’s Sake April 19, 2025I’ll tell you another pet peeve of mine—people who ask me why it is important to know the truth if I can’t do anything about it. I find it strange that people do not seek truth for truth’s sake. Sure, there are times when you really do not need to know the truth about something. […]
- WATCH: What I Learned From The JFK Files April 18, 2025In case you haven’t heard, the JFK files just dropped recently. So, what are these documents? Where did they come from? What do they contain? And, most important of all, why have they been hidden from us for over 60 years? James Corbett has the answers in this deep dive edition of The Corbett Report […]
- Bitchute, the UK and modern censorship in action April 17, 2025Last week, alternative video-sharing platform BitChute announced they would no longer allow UK-based users to view content on their site. The opening of their official statement makes the reason quite clear [you can read the whole thing here]: After careful review and ongoing evaluation of the regulatory landscape in the United Kingdom, we regret to […]
- Goodbye Jury Trials, Hello Digital ID: 10 “recommendations” from the Crime and Justice Commission April 15, 2025The Times Crime and Justice Commission was established last year, with its mission statement being to… consider the future of policing and the criminal justice system, in the light of the knife crime crisis, a shoplifting epidemic, the growing threat of cybercrime, concerns about the culture of the police, court backlogs, problems with legal aid […]
thunderbolts.info
- David Talbott: Mythology as Undiscovered History | EU2017 April 12, 2025In David Talbott’s EU2017: Future Science conference presentation, he examines a protocol for cross-cultural investigation, then offers an objective standard to a field of study where expert scholars assume to be hopelessly subjective. His claim is that world-wide mythology speaks for ‘real’ history, although only in the sense that every... Continue reading
- Arceology April 9, 2025Original Post April 9, 2015 What did the ancient people think of the axis mundi (world axis)? In the footsteps of Mircea Eliade, mythologists and anthropologists tend to think of the axis mundi or ‘world axis’ as a straight object running through the cosmos vertically. While this is, of course, correct... Continue reading
- Matt Finn: Comet Biela & the Great Chicago Fire of 1871 | Thunderbolts April 5, 2025On an October Sunday evening in 1871, flames erupted across three states—Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan—all at once. Chicago burns. Peshtigo, Wisconsin vanishes. Forests in Michigan turn to ash. Eyewitnesses saw flames—and weirdness. Fire falling from the sky. A tornado of flame ripping buildings apart. Balls of fire dropping like bombs. Red... Continue reading
- The Vortex Atom, a Forgotten Theory? March 30, 2025The Vortex Atom, a Forgotten Theory? by Mathias Hüfner The Thunderbolts Project is now a quarter of a century old, since the unforgotten Wal Thornhill dedicated himself to a new cosmology with his essay “Gravity vs. Plasma.” He defined it as follows: The Electric Universe Model of Cosmology is new... Continue reading
- Stuart Talbott: Planet Formation Is Electromagnetic | Thunderbolts March 29, 2025We begin with a necessary acknowledgement—conventional theories of planet formation by gravitational processes have been falsified both observationally and experimentally. When experts attempt to re-create the planetary accretion disk theory with computer models it breaks down. Rather than growing, the incipient objects tend to splinter after reaching pebble size. How... Continue reading
theburningplatform.com
- Mark Andreesen on AI April 20, 2025
- The Family Home: From Shelter To Asset To Liability April 20, 2025Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, The deflation of asset bubbles and higher costs are foreseeable, but the magnitude of each is unpredictable. With the rise of financialized asset bubbles as the source of our “growth,” family home went from shelter to speculative asset. This transition accelerated as financialization (turning everything into a financial […]
- “Herds Gutted”: Historically Low US Cattle Inventory Drives Beef Prices To New Highs April 20, 2025Via ZeroHedge America’s declining cattle herd is nothing short of alarming, and some ranchers call it a “national security threat” to the nation’s food supply chain. This continues to be a major theme fueling record-high cattle prices on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and beef prices at the local supermarket. Elevated interest rates and soaring input costs […]
- The Global Safe Haven Is Slowly Breaking: Why Central Banks Are Turning To Gold April 20, 2025Authored by Alex Deluce via GoldTelegraph.com, The global financial system is not just shifting, it is starting to breakdown. On April 1st, I wrote: “The erosion of trust: the times are changing.” That warning has since become a headline. What was once dismissed as contrarian commentary by many is now being echoed by mainstream media across […]
- SUNDAY MORNING CLASSICS ON TBP – SPECIAL EASTER SUNDAY EDITION April 20, 2025A collaboration of: “The Classic Music Mafia” Anthony Aaron, and Steve C. Steve C / Classic Music Mafia: Here is the image depicting “The Classic Music Gangsters,” a whimsical and imaginative group of classical musicians with a playful gangster twist. The scene is set in an old-world music hall with rich, vintage decor, where the […]
lionessofjudah.substack.com
- Sasha Latypova: PREP Act Declarations for COVID Pandemic, Marburg Pandemic, Ebola Pandemic, Are FAKES April 20, 2025"The self-amplifying RNA vaccine for avian flu...is under PREP Act...declaration...extended from 2013...."
- Prof.Angus Dalgleish: Funeral of a Friend Who Had the Covid Booster – and Developed Raging Cancer April 20, 2025"Meanwhile, I keep receiving calls and emails from friends and patients as to whether they should get the boosters that their GPs are bullying them to get."
- Major Study Confirms Covid ‘Vaccines’ Sabotage Immune System April 19, 2025Also: CDC ACIP Set to Recommend More mRNA Shots This Year Despite Millions of American Casualties
- John Beaudoin: They're Responsible for MURDER April 19, 2025"In early '21, there was enough data in VAERS to pull the [COVID] shots immediately..."
- End Times Headline News. April 19 2025 April 19, 2025Trump Ready To Recognize Crimea As Russian. NATO to abandon ‘woke language’. China stops buying LNG from US. 250K UK Rapes Covered Up. Iran, US to hold talks in Rome. Secrets of Gethsemane
zerohedge.com
- Hamas Video Shows Israeli Hostage Urging Trump To Gain His Release April 20, 2025Hamas Video Shows Israeli Hostage Urging Trump To Gain His Release On Saturday the armed wing of Hamas, known as the Qassam Brigades, issued a 'proof of life' video showing Israeli hostage Elkana Buhbut speaking to his US national wife in a phone call, requesting that President Donald Trump release hostages from Gaza. Elkana's family released a […]
- Switching From The Tariff Phase To The Deal Phase April 20, 2025Switching From The Tariff Phase To The Deal Phase By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities Dealpalooza It was a relatively quiet week on the tariff front. Last Friday night we had more tariff exemptions, followed by promises (or threats) of sectoral tariffs. But since then, the chatter has become all about the deals. Ok, there […]
- Far-Left Boston Mayor's Campaign Allegedly Funded By Dem Power Broker Linked To China April 20, 2025Far-Left Boston Mayor's Campaign Allegedly Funded By Dem Power Broker Linked To China Boston Democratic Mayor Michelle Wu has positioned herself as anything but 'America First'—doubling down on sanctuary policies that defend criminal illegal aliens. Her liberal sanctuary city laws increasingly undermine national security, raising serious questions about why she has embraced such a dangerous stance. […]
- HHS Stops Funding For Next-Generation COVID-19 Vaccine April 20, 2025HHS Stops Funding For Next-Generation COVID-19 Vaccine Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has stopped funding for a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine that received an award during the Biden administration, the company making the vaccine said on April 16. A health care worker prepares […]
- Confidence In Democratic Leadership Sinks To Record Low As Party Implodes April 20, 2025Confidence In Democratic Leadership Sinks To Record Low As Party Implodes The Democratic Party remains rudderless following last November's election setbacks, when Republicans regained control of both the White House and the Senate, while narrowly holding onto their House majority. Now, a new poll shows confidence in the Democratic Party's congressional leadership has collapsed, sinking to record lows. Gallup conducted […]
electroverse.info
- Heavy Spring Snow Hits Northern Spain; Alps Slammed By More Late-Season Snow; 100% Losses In Southern Ukraine; + New Study Finds Antarctica Glacier Growth April 18, 2025Snow depths have peaked at 314 cm (10.3 ft) at Passo del Moro, Italy.
- Ireland’s Peaks Dusted; Rare April Snow Damages Orchards In Iran; Accumulations For The Northeast; + Historic Late-Season Snowstorms Bury The Alps April 17, 2025A meter (3.3 ft) of fresh snow hit the Southern Alps overnight, with more on the way.
- Rare April Snow Blankets Portugal’s Peaks; Solid Snow Year Across U.S. Resorts; Look At China; + EPA Investigates ‘Make Sunsets’ April 16, 2025This is outright economic war, but the West has been duped into laying down its arms.
- Turkey’s Crops Crippled By Deep Freeze; Cold Snap Persists In South Korea; China Blizzards; + The Met Office And NOAA: Fabricating The Climate One Ghost Station At A Time April 15, 2025It's propaganda: fear-driven obedience-seeking.
- Cold Front Batters Northern China; Seoul Sees First Mid-April Snow Since 1907; April Snow Sweeps Ukraine; Cyprus White; + FMI Revision April 14, 2025Rug up...
hopegirlblog.com
- Free Livestream Panel! 21st Century Health Defense: Surviving AI, Nanotechnology And The Transhumanism Agenda April 19, 2025PLEASE CHECK BACK OFTEN THIS PAGE WILL BE UPDATED REGULARLY LEADING UP TO THE LIVE PANEL FREE LIVE ONLINE PANEL TO THE PUBLIC: 21st Century Health Defense: Surviving AI, Nanotechnology And The Transhumanism Agenda. Saturday April 26 2025 12 Noon EST. Live on Rumble and X. Free! Sign up here! To receive email notification link […]
- Unveiled: mRNA Ban, GMO Babies, & Fluoride’s Finale – Daily Pulse Ep. 1 April 18, 2025New peer reviewed evidence demands mRNA ban, explosive coverage on genetically modified children being created, plus, an end to fluoride in water systems? The CDC has officially been put on notice. The post Unveiled: mRNA Ban, GMO Babies, & Fluoride’s Finale – Daily Pulse Ep. 1 appeared first on HopeGirl Blog.
- The cyclic nature of our reality. Is history all fake? Cosmic cycles, the power of love and more.. April 18, 2025Brad Carrigan organized the first big Canadian Freedom Rallies--at one point having a crowd of 10,000. He didn't fight with the police but asked them to join them. Humanity doesn't win by warring, but expressing the power of love between all people. The post The cyclic nature of our reality. Is history all fake? Cosmic […]
- Christopher Key On W/ Mike Adams! Exposing the lies! April 18, 2025🔥 Christopher Key On W/ Mike Adams! Exposing the lies! The post Christopher Key On W/ Mike Adams! Exposing the lies! appeared first on HopeGirl Blog.
- Dr. Mary Talley Bowden Broken Truth Interview April 18, 2025Flashback of our 2023 interview with the doctor who took on #shotsgate trolls, big pharma, and the FDA - and won. Extended article here: https://www.brokentruth.tv/p/flashback-dr-mary-talley-bowdens The post Dr. Mary Talley Bowden Broken Truth Interview appeared first on HopeGirl Blog.
Core Echo
The Earth’s core dispatches heat that traverses thousands of kilometers over millions of years to reach the surface. These plumes, shaped and stratified by solar system gravitational cycles, manifest as periods of increased volcanism and climatic shifts. We are terming this process “Core Echo.”
Carbon Dating
“In a number of cases radiochronological age calculations give results that are clearly absurd and contradict the entirety of accumulated geological and palaeontological data. In such cases “absolute chronological figures” are to be ignored as blatantly erroneous. The discrepancies between geochronological definitions using different isotope methods may reach a factor of 10x.”
The Age of the Earth
In this historically significant article, Lord Rayleigh examines the scientific debate regarding the age of the Earth. Writing in the early 20th century, Rayleigh challenges the previously accepted calculations of Lord Kelvin, which had estimated the Earth’s age at only 20-40 million years. Drawing on emerging knowledge of radioactivity, Rayleigh presents evidence suggesting the Earth is significantly older—potentially billions of years old. However, he candidly acknowledges several critical shortfalls and assumptions in his methodology which remarkably, over a century later, remain the basis for modern radiometric dating.
The Great Pyramid
“The builders of the Pyramid were masters of Astronomical and Geographical science, and it contains the minute measurements of the earth and heaven, far exceeding the scientific knowledge of any man in our own time, and this knowledge and the secrets thereof were known to the High Priests, and they carried out their then knowledge wherever they went. The Ark of the Covenant, built in the wilderness by Moses, Noah’s Ark, and King Solomon’s Temple, all bear a true decimal proportion to the Pyramid, and the Ark or “Sarcophagus” in the King’s chamber within the Pyramid.”
On Magnetic Tides
“Besides the ever memorable deluges of Noah, Ogyges, and Deucalion, we have innumerable other accounts of the waters of the ocean making less remarkable encroachments on the shores at particular times and places, and returning to their former bounds. If it were necessary, a multitude of instances might be produced; though, were I only to hint at one twentieth part of those which might be enumerated, they would far exceed the proposed bounds of the present work.”
Antarctic Paradise
“Antarctica today is covered by an ice sheet up to five kilometres thick. It is the coldest place on Earth. It is amazingly the driest desert on Earth, with snow only falling around its wind-blasted boundaries. But Antarctica was not always so cold and remote. Geologist Molly Miller of Vanderbilt University discovered, in the Beardmore Glacier area of Antarctica, the remains of three ancient deciduous forests complete with fossils of fallen leaves scattered around the petrified tree stumps. “These were not scrubby little things,” Miller said. “These were big trees.” … And when did this occur? Classic geology would have you believe this ice sheet to have been in existence for millions of years. Two powerful facts totally contradict this.”
The Bull’s-Eye
“[An excerpt from] Kenneth J. Hsü’s firsthand account of one of the most fascinating deep-sea drilling cruises ever launched. This voyage, Leg 13 of the Glomar Challenger, was undertaken in 1970 and led to a spectacular geological headline: the hypothesis that about five and a half million years ago the Mediterranean Sea was a desert.”
A Mediterranean Model
As the Earth spun, the Mediterranean Sea, that cradle of ancient tales, became a beast unchained. The Strait of Gibraltar, gateway to the Atlantic, slammed shut as the crust buckled, trapping the sea in a prison of land. The waters, driven by the planet’s sudden tilt, surged forth in a monstrous wave, 50 to 100 meters high, racing at 120 meters per second—faster than the swiftest eagle. Half the sea, 1.85 million cubic kilometers, broke free, pouring over the Sahara with a force that tore away the sands and stones of ages past.
Tempus Fugit
The conventional narrative of Earth’s history — a gradual, uniform progression spanning 4.5 billion years — may be the greatest scientific misconception of our time. This is not merely an academic concern; it fundamentally alters our understanding of human history, the development of civilization, and our place in the cosmos. If the true timeline of Earth has been compressed by catastrophic events, then humanity’s journey may be far more tumultuous — and recent — than we have been led to believe.
Time & Tide – Part I
“Modern science, with its sophisticated instruments and vast datasets, has begun to reveal patterns that our ancestors knew well. We have discovered that our solar system is not the clockwork model of perfect stability that we once imagined, but a dynamic system of interacting forces. The Sun’s activity follows cycles within cycles. The planets move in harmonic resonances that can build and diminish over time. And at the heart of our own world, the massive iron core holds secrets we are only beginning to understand.”
The Pyramid: The Solution for the ECDO Event
“This paper introduces The Pyramid as a potential countermeasure to the catastrophic event known as Exothermic Core-Mantle Decoupling and Dzhanibekov Oscillation (ECDO). The theory posits that the Earth’s core could undergo a significant decoupling event, leading to dramatic shifts in magnetic and rotational axes, which might result in global geological disruptions and major catastrophe. The proposed Pyramid solution leverages electromagnetic principles based on Energy Wave Theory (EWT) and modern geophysical understanding to mitigate or prevent the impacts of an ECDO event.” – P.S. Hernandez
Pyramidal Structures as Functional Resonant Devices
“The Great Pyramid of Giza and its potential to manipulate energy has historically, been relegated to the realm of speculative mystery. Multiple “conspiracy theories”, sometimes illogical, sometimes eerily consistent but still, relegated to near oblivion, have been developed around it. Yet, in 2025, a dawn of an era when human understanding now rapidly begins to evolve in rebellion, one must ask: Why has the serious exploration of the Pyramid’s potential to interact with electromagnetic fields been so remarkably overlooked?” – P.S.Hernandez
Musica Universalis
The JUNS Orbital Cycle (Jupiter-Uranus-Neptune-Saturn) has a grand period of ~4627 years before all four repeat their dance. The 4/5 harmonic of this period is ~3702 years. If we look back through time, we find something quite remarkable every 3.7ka, going back not to the YDB, but one more cycle to the start of the Bølling–Allerød Interstadial 14.8ky before the present.
The Catastrophist Manifesto
“This Manifesto is not an attack but a counterblast. We, persons who have understood that we are born on a highly dynamic planet that tumbles and gyrates and spirals through a highly dynamic universe, have been calumniated, cold-shouldered, blacklisted, denied research funding, refused publication space, and chased out of jobs by sectarians who took power at the universities around 1860, sectarians as dogmatic and repressive as their christian predecessors, and who tried – and continue trying – to describe the world as static as they can. And to enforce consensus, they continue using ad-hominem arguments, their “common sense”, the anonymous peer-review censorship system, and the medieval Occam’s razor, long since rusted and blunt.” – Han Kloosterman
Flood Stories from Around the World
A collection of more than 250 flood stories from various cultures and locations around the world, as compiled by Mark Isaak between 1996 and 2002.
Altered Carbon
“Apparently the coal was not formed in the ways described. Forests burned, a hurricane uprooted them, and a tidal wave or succession of tidal waves coming from the sea fell upon the charred and splintered trees and swept them into great heaps, tossed by billows, and covered them with marine sand, pebbles and shells, and weeds and fishes; another tide deposited on top of the sand more carbonized logs, threw them in other heaps, and again covered them with marine sediment. The heated ground metamorphosed the charred wood into coal, and if the wood or the ground where it was buried was drenched in a bituminous outpouring, bituminous coal was formed. Wet leaves sometimes survived the forest fires and, swept into the same heaps of logs and sand, left their design on the coal. Thus it is that seams of coal are covered with marine sediment; for that reason also a seam may bifurcate and have marine deposits between its branches.”
Cataclysmic Evolution
“When, therefore, the earth, covered with mud from the recent flood, became heated up by the hot and genial rays of the sun, she brought forth innumerable forms of life, in part of ancient shapes, and – in part creatures new and strange.” – Ovid, Metamorphoses
The Deep
In July 1947 a Swedish deep-sea expedition left Göteborg on the Albatross for a fifteen-month journey around the world to investigate the bottom of the seas on the seventeen thousand miles of the ship’s course with the help of a newly constructed vacuum core sampler. In the sediment that covers the rocky bottom of the oceans the expedition found, in the words of its leader, H.Pettersson, director of the Oceanographic Institute at Göteborg, “evidence of great catastrophes that have altered the face of the earth.”
Decoupling the Limits to Growth
“The end of Bretton Woods allowed for an unprecedented ability to manage systemic shocks, including those potentially arising from geomagnetic and planetary cycles. While this connection remains speculative, the timing of the dollar’s decoupling and the NMDP’s acceleration suggests a deeper interrelation between human systems and Earth’s dynamic processes. Could this flexibility be a necessary adaptation for navigating a period of intensified geophysical upheaval?”
Earth’s Missing Pages
“Could erosion have swept whole continents clean? And where did all these sediments go? Mainstream science believes that its armory of fossil succession, radiometric dating, and episodic erosion and sedimentation, caused by changing sea levels and the rising and subsiding of land are more than sufficent. It is a matter of opinion whether these accepted processes can cope with the sheer number and magnitudes of the gaps in the Stratigraphic Record.”
The Taurids
“Between 3 and 15 November each year, the Earth runs through a meteor stream coming from a small area in the constellation of Taurus the bull. The Beta Taurids come in between 24 June and 6 July with a sharp peak on 30 June each year. The orbits of these daytime Taurids match those of the southern Taurids closely. This unique complex of debris is undoubtedly the greatest collision hazard facing the Earth at the present time. It is likely that hundreds of thousands of bodies, each capable of yielding a multi-megaton explosion on Earth, are orbiting within the stream.”
East & West
“Our planet rotates from west to east. Has it always done so? In this rotation from west to east, the sun is seen to rise in the east and set in the west. Was the east the primeval and only place of the sunrise? There is testimony from all parts of the world that the side which is now turned toward the evening once faced the morning. Curiously enough, the cause of such perturbation is revealed in beliefs like that of the people of Flanders in Belgium. where the peasants say, on seeing a comet: ‘The sky is going to fall; the earth is turning over!'” – Immanuel Velikovsky (1950)
The Flip of the Earth
“At one of the scientific meetings that Major White attended in the Pentagon in early 1948, the scientists discussed the advisability of alerting the public to the pending polar-flip phenomenon. None of the scientists would agree to withhold the information from the public; but, on the other hand, neither could they agree on how to release it. The knowledge of this phenomenon, some felt, could in itself destroy the moral fiber of society…
Although the next polar flip could commence at any moment, until our governments and scientific institutions begin to seriously study this phenomenon and take the appropriate actions to prepare for global change; it appears that prayer is the only thing we have going for us.”
– Ken White, World in Peril (1994)
COVID-19 Vaccine Ingredients
On 20 August 2021 Dr. Robert Young published his team’s findings after analysing the four dominant COVID-19 “vaccines” using Phase Contrast Microscopy, Transmission and Scanning Electron Microscopy and Energy-Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy. Their findings both confirm and expand upon the prior investigations carried our by Dr. Pablo Campra (University of Almeria, Spain) and Dr. Juan F. Gastón Añaños (Hospital de Barbastro, Spain). These findings are summarised in this article.
Deagel 2025 Forecast
“The Deagel corporation is a minor branch of US military intelligence, one of the many secretive organizations which collects data for high-level decision-making purposes and prepares confidential briefing documents for agencies like the National Security Agency, the United Nations, and the World Bank. It is known, for example, to have contributed to a Stratfor report on North Korea. With this kind of pedigree, Deagel should be seen as a legitimate player in the intelligence community and not merely a disinformation asset.
If so, then it must be assumed that its population predictions for 2025, as well as its industrial output predictions on a nation-by-nation basis, are based on strategic assumptions which are shared and well understood by other players in the intelligence community.”